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Global Politics: Is China yawning?

Owen Moelwyn-Hughes

27th January 2011

Napoleon once declared: ‘Let China sleep, for when she wakes, she will shake the world’. So just how awake is China?

Great article in the Telegraph on China and the strategic revolution: Appeasement is the proper policy towards Confucian China

Also in the Telegraph - China’s Progress is to be lauded not feared. The emerging superpower is not the threat we perceive it to be, says Jeremy Warner.

Chatham House have just published a report which explores just this - it is entitled ‘Trying to Read the New ‘Assertive’ China Right’.

Its key points are:- In a pragmatic attempt to maintain their hold on power, China’s leaders have replaced a tightly controlled ideological system with one based on an amalgam of ideas ranging from nationalism to Confucianism. - The confusion caused by this is exacerbated by the factional jostling in the Chinese Communist Party. The resulting lack of clarity about ‘what China is’ leads outsiders to interpret the country’s actions either as signs of increasing assertiveness and aggression or of internal weakness. - China’s unclear narrative leads it into apparently contradictory actions and positions. It claims to champion developing countries but expects to be treated as one of the major powers. It joins multilateral organizations but is unyielding on its national interests. It speaks of its harmonious rise but flexes its military muscle. It wants to be seen as a strong country but plays on its history of victimization. - As a result, China is widely viewed as incomprehensible and is distrusted. This causes it to react defensively, setting in motion a vicious circle of mistrust. To overcome this, external actors should look beyond the political rhetoric of the Chinese elite and focus on China’s actions.

If interested the full report can be downloaded here.

Owen Moelwyn-Hughes

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