Study Notes

How might a current account deficit affect other macro-objectives?

Level:
A-Level, IB
Board:
AQA, Edexcel, OCR, IB, Eduqas, WJEC, NCFE, Pearson BTEC, CIE

Last updated 8 Oct 2024

A current account deficit can impact several macroeconomic objectives, potentially leading to both positive and negative effects. Here’s how it might affect key areas:

1. Economic Growth

  • Positive: A deficit funded by foreign capital inflows (like foreign direct investment) can boost domestic investment and long-term growth.
  • Negative: A persistent deficit might indicate over-reliance on foreign goods and a lack of domestic production, which can stunt domestic growth if investment and productivity don’t keep up.

2. Unemployment

  • Increased Unemployment: If domestic industries are unable to compete with cheaper imports, it can lead to job losses in sectors affected by increased import competition.
  • Mixed Impact: However, if the deficit is accompanied by high levels of foreign investment, new jobs may be created in other sectors.

3. Inflation

  • Imported Inflation: A heavy reliance on imports can lead to inflation if the currency depreciates, making imports more expensive.
  • Falling AD: A net outflow of demand as imports rise might cause a fall in demand-pull inflation

4. Exchange Rates

  • Currency Depreciation: A sustained deficit can pressure the domestic currency to depreciate, as demand for foreign currency rises to pay for imports.
  • Impact on Competitiveness: Depreciation can make exports cheaper and imports more expensive, which could help reduce the deficit but may also increase the cost of foreign debt.

5. Debt and Financial Stability

  • Increased Borrowing: A deficit often leads to external borrowing, which raises the risk of future debt repayments becoming unsustainable, especially if the deficit continues.
  • Risk of Capital Flight: If investors lose confidence, they may pull their capital out, causing financial instability and a sharp currency devaluation.

6. Living Standards

  • Short-Term Boost: Access to cheaper imports can improve living standards by increasing access to affordable goods and services.
  • Long-Term Risk: However, reliance on imports could hurt domestic industries, potentially harming long-term employment and income stability.

While a current account deficit can have immediate benefits, its long-term impact on other macro-objectives depends on how it is financed, whether the deficit supports productive investment, and the overall economic context.

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