In the News

Will the world economy suffer hysteresis?

Geoff Riley

23rd March 2020

My article of the day comes from the BBC and looks at the risks of long-term damage to the world economy as a consequence of the crisis.

When a severe downturn leads to permanent loss of productive capacity, rising economic inactivity and a sharp drop in capital spending, economists say that countries are at risk of hysteresis.

One of the many challenges facing macro policy-makers is to respond sufficiently robustly and quickly to prevent the worst effects of hysteresis and the social costs this creates.

Will the post-pandemic recovery be a sharp V shape or a U or an L? Or perhaps one where the aftershocks of the slump in production and employment continue to reverberate for years to come?

Please read: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52000219

Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for over thirty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD conferences in the UK and overseas.

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