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Unit 4 Macro: Growth, Trade and Development in Sub Saharan Africa

Geoff Riley

1st June 2014

This blog entry will feature frequently updated revision resources on economic growth trade and development aspects for a range of sub Saharan African countries

Real GDP per capita (PPP)

Fertility rate

Tax revenue as a share of GDP

Merchandise trade as a share of GDP

Background Data

  • Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has 12 % of the world’s total population but only 2% of world GDP
  • Since 2000, GDP per capita in SSA has grown by almost 5% per year, compared with 2.4% in the two preceding decades – most forecasts predict that good growth will continue in the next few years
  • Since 2000, SSA’s economic size has doubled in real terms and almost quadrupled in nominal $ terms
  • To put this into context, the combined national output of SSA is equivalent to the GDP of Spain
  • Angola, Mozambique or Ethiopia achieved average GDP growth rates of 8% and more over the last decade – compared with that of China and exceeding that of India
  • In 2012, Sierra Leone, Niger, Cote d’Ivoire, Angola, Liberia and Burkina Faso all experienced faster economic growth than China
  • Total SSA exports to China, Brazil and India were larger than those to the EU in 2011
  • SSA tends to export primary commodities – manufactured goods and agricultural products represent only 5% of total exports to Brazil, India and China, 10% to the US and 30% to the EU
  • There has been a significant rise in intra-regional trade within SSA and this is acting as a catalyst for export diversification within the region and in particular, a rising share of manufactured products within total exports – but intra-regional trade remains low in absolute terms
  • SSA is investing more heavily in tourism as a growth and development driver. Traditional destinations such as Cape Verde, Kenya, Mauritius, Seychelles have served tourists from rich advanced countries for many years; newer destinations include Rwanda and Sierra Leone
  • SSA is a net recipient of remittance inflows – they were $31bn 2011 and 2012, 2.5% of SSA’s GDP – remittances provide important foreign exchange, improve the current account and add to a nation’s gross national income (GNI)
  • Africa is set to become the world’s second-largest mobile telephony market behind Asia and its fastest-growing one. Mobile money systems built around extensive mobile phone penetration is fast-changing the connectivity available to the African continent.
  • When it comes to social development - SSA lags in achieving all the Millennium Development Goals

Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for over thirty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD conferences in the UK and overseas.

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