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Unit 2 Macro: Heathow’s Capacity and Connectivity Crunch

Geoff Riley

22nd April 2012

The capacity and efficiency of our transport infrastructure has a huge bearing on the supply-side potential of the economy and in this Channel 4 news video, the CEO of British Airports Authority argues that Heathrow is now full to bursting. The Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition manifesto in 2010 ruled out a third runway at Heathrow - to the relief of those (including me) who live under Heathrow flight paths. But without much needed investmnt in air transport, there are fears that UK business will suffer and the economy will become less attractive to inward investment.

According to BAA (owned by Spanish infrastructure company Ferrovial), 77,000 people are employed inside the airport’s perimeter, with a further 59,000 jobs supported across London.

In a recent research report commissioned by BAA and produced by Oxford Economics, a failure to support Heathrow over the next ten years could cost 78,800 jobs from tourism, 55,300 jobs from foreign investment and 7,300 jobs from exports to emerging markets – 141,400 jobs in total

By 2021 lost GDP could total £8.5 billion a year – £3.6 billion from tourism, £4.5 billion from foreign investment and £410 million from exports.

A quote from Colin Matthews, CEO of BAA plc

“The centre of gravity in the world economy is shifting and we need to forge new links with emerging markets. Instead, we are edging towards a future cut off from some of the world’s most important markets, with Paris and Frankfurt already boasting more flights to the three largest cities in China than Heathrow, our only hub airport.”

Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for over thirty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD conferences in the UK and overseas.

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