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UK CEOs on their recession strategies

Geoff Riley

23rd February 2010

I am cross posting this superb blog from Jim on a new survey of CEOs and some background to their corporate tactics and strategies during the recession. Business responses to economic shocks and turning points in the trade cycle have a huge impact on the depth, severity and duration of any downturn. There is much below for students to consider when they discuss the reaction functions of senior executives to the challenges of the downturn and the financial crisis.

The CEO survey can be found here. I have summarised some of the ley learning points which students might want to consider during their research below:

The recession in the UK was a painful experience for UK CEOs

- Many had to make dramatic changes to their organisations
- Short-term objectives and actions were the focus: reducing headcount; selling off assets; preserving cash
- CEOs had to reassess their attitude and approach to risk and contingency planning
- 96% of UK CEOs implemented cost-reduction exercises - 62% of which involved reducing headcount. The drive has been for an improvement in efficiency

UK CEOs believe that there has been a significant shift in consumer behaviour

- Shifts in consumer spending (predictable, given the nature of the recession) - but 36 of UK CEOs think the shift in demand in their existing markets is a serious threat to their growth prospects
- 75% of UK CEOs expect UK consumers to spend less in the future and save more
- More active involvement of consumers in new product development
- Greater consumer interest in environmental & CSR activities and records of companies

Coming out of the recession - growth will be largely organic and financed internally

- A clear and well-understood to differentiate products or services in the face of much-increased competition
- Growth expected to be funded by internally generated cash
- Organic growth rather than acquisitive growth is the predominant growth strategy for CEOs - a clear focus on better penetration of existing markets
- 74% of CEOs in the UK are committed to continued cost-cutting in 2010
- Only 14% of CEOs see acquisitions (external growth) as the main opportunity to grow their business (but this is up from just 7% in 2009). The proportion of UK CEOs expecting to make acquisitions back in 2008 was 23%.

Risk management will become a much more important part of the strategic management process

- CEOs expect a much more restrictive regulatory environment
- A cultural shift is taking place- linking reward structures closer to risk management
- The emergence of a new box in the organisational structures of larger, more complex businesses - the CRO (Chief Risk Officer)
- CEOs increasingly looking for their businesses to work closer with suppliers to manage risks

A change in the culture of managing people is taking place

- Over half (52%) of UK CEOs expect to make significant changes to their strategies for employee motivation
- 65% plan to increase spending on leadership training
- 74% of CEOs plan to change their firm’s organisational structure in 2010 as we exit the recession
- 41% of UK CEOs have outsourced a business process or function during the recession - 39% plan to do more outsourcing in 2010

...and finally - what are the major lessons that UK CEOs have learned from the recent recession in the UK?

- The challenge of the recession has been to make their firms more resilient (the survival instinct) without missing out on opportunities as they emerge
- CEOs have learned more about their business models - how and why they make money (or not); which aspects of the operations & functions add real value
- Need to stay disciplined on costs, but still incur them to support innovation
- Ask the banks for finance, but dont assume you will get it
- Long-term planning is still critical - but business planning needs to assume greater volatility in the external environment

Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for over thirty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD conferences in the UK and overseas.

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