Labour shortages in a recession

Despite unemployment being over 2.5 million (using the labour force survey) the British economy still suffers from labour shortages. These may become a constraint on the recovery as output and employment picks up. The CBI have published a new report on structural weaknesses in the labour market - reported here by the BBC.

“Despite the recession, nearly half of employers said they were already having difficulty recruiting staff with skills in science, technology, engineering and maths, with manufacturers and science-related businesses finding it hardest to find staff.”

This raises important questions about skills gaps in the economy and also the proposal to put an annual cap on inward migration. What happens if the cap has been reached and a business cannot fulfill a key export order for want of getting the vital workers they need? Are caps on labour migration a root cause of government failure?

As my chart shows, the regular survey of recruitment difficulties from the British Chamber of Commerce finds that the percentage of manufacturing and service sector businesses reporting problems in getting the workers they need has dropped during the recession, but remains appreciably above the level seen at the end of the last downturn in the early 1990s.