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Fed opts to leave a little powder left

Geoff Riley

18th March 2008

It is a sign of the times when a decision to cut (slash) official short term interest rates by 0,75% (taking US rates to 2.25%) comes in below market expectations! The US Fed Reserve has cut the cost of borrowing in a fresh bid to limit the downside risks for the real economy as financial turbulence threatens to dent a huge hole in prospects for the US economy in the coming months. Loads of comment available on this one from virtually every commentator. Evan Davis, the former Economics editor of the BBC was on good form on TV this morning - explaining that cuts in interest rates from the central banks is not really where the problem lies for most consumers. It is the interest rate charged on the lending and borrowing that the banks do between each other which then feeds through into the market for mortgage and other retail loans.

One of the keys to coming out of this crisis will be for banks to recapitalise and improve their own block of funding before they start lending out again. In short, the banks need to attract fresh injections of capital - perhaps from encouraging more of us to save and also from external sources such as the petro-dollars being held by the sovereign wealth funds. Confidence in the different pieces of the financial system is ebbing away - stabilising the markets is the immediate issue and the problem.

Data charts on US and UK interest rates

US_Rate_Cut_March_2008.pdf UK_Interest_Rates.pdf

Suggested links on the US rate cut

US admits economy is in downturn (BBC) Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points (Financial Times) Q&A: Bear Stearns banking crisis (The Guardian)

Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for over thirty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD conferences in the UK and overseas.

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