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Exam Advice: Multiple Causation

Geoff Riley

17th April 2011

No doubt you have found in your revision that many factors can influence the direction of a single economic variable. For most key issues there are many short-term and longer-term contributing factors and strong students are aware of multiple causation and can bring this explicitly into their answers. For example…

*The causes of unemployment (demand and supply side causes): Presentation here

*The causes of inflation (cost push and demand pull, domestic and external): Presentation here

*Reasons behind changes in the exchange rate (trade, foreign direct investment, other capital flows, central bank intervention): Presentation here

*The many factors that the Bank of England and other central banks take into account when setting policy interest rates: Presentation here

*Causes of economic growth in both the short run and the long run (AD and LRAS causes): Presentation here

*Multiple causes of market failure and of government failure: Presentation here:government failure

*The reasons why producer cartels are often unstable: Presentation here

*The factors driving globalisation (and more recently de-globalisation): Globalisation blogs here

Examiners will always reward students who make an attempt to use relevant economic analysis and make it clear that several factors affect a particular economic variable (inflation, investment spending). Often we make use of the ceteris paribus assumption to isolate in theory the effects of one variable – but the real world does not allow this to happen! Challenging the ceteris paribus assumption can also add weight and value to your answer.

Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for over thirty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD conferences in the UK and overseas.

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