In the News

Debt Dilemma: How Developing Countries Are Facing Their Worst Financial Crisis

Geoff Riley

21st July 2024

Imagine nearly half of a country’s budget being used up just to pay off debts. That’s the stark reality for many developing nations today. According to a recent study by Debt Relief International for Norwegian Church Aid - reported here in the Guardian - over 100 countries are drowning in debt, leading to massive cutbacks in crucial areas like health, education, and climate change initiatives. The crisis is so severe that it surpasses even the infamous debt crises of the 1980s and 1990s.

Debt is Devouring Budgets

Developing countries are currently spending an average of 41.5% of their budget revenues, 41.6% of their total spending, and 8.4% of their GDP on servicing debts. This means less money for vital public services, stalling progress and hitting the poorest hardest. Without urgent action, these problems could persist into the 2030s, leaving countries stuck in a vicious cycle of debt and poverty.

Why Now?

The G20, a group of the world’s major economies, launched the "common framework" in 2020 to help simplify and speed up debt relief. However, the results have been disappointing. The framework isn’t delivering the necessary relief, partly because much of the debt is owed to China and private bondholders, who aren’t participating as expected. As a result, countries are hesitant to join the process, knowing that it won't significantly lighten their debt burden.

Proposed Solutions

The report makes several key suggestions to tackle this crisis:

  1. Inclusive Relief: Debt relief should be accessible to all countries, regardless of income level or region, and tailored to their specific needs.
  2. Manageable Payments: Ensure that debt servicing doesn't exceed 15% of a country’s budget revenue.
  3. Rapid Action: Provide quick relief with immediate payment suspensions when a country applies for help.
  4. Universal Participation: Include all creditors in the relief process.
  5. Legal Protections: Protect debtor countries from aggressive creditors (known as "vulture funds") in major financial centers.

Vulture Funds:

Predators of the Debt World Vulture funds buy up cheap debt and then seek to profit by suing debtor countries. Matthew Martin, one of the report's authors, urges the UK government to pass laws preventing these funds from using UK courts to sue poor countries. This, alongside a thorough review of the common framework and immediate debt relief for hurricane-hit Caribbean islands, could provide much-needed support.

The Human Cost

Dagfinn Høybråten from Norwegian Church Aid highlights the devastating impact of high debt burdens on the poorest populations. When governments are forced to cut spending on welfare, education, and health to pay off debts, the most vulnerable suffer the most. The 1982 debt crisis took over 20 years to resolve, and we cannot afford to let history repeat itself with another generation suffering under crushing debt.

Exam-Style Questions

  1. Explain the impact of high debt servicing on developing countries' budgets and public services.
  2. Discuss the effectiveness of the G20’s common framework in addressing the current debt crisis.
  3. Evaluate the role of vulture funds in exacerbating the debt problems of developing countries.
  4. Suggest and justify policies that could help alleviate the debt burden on developing nations.

Glossary of Key Economic Terms

  • Bondholders: Investors who own bonds, which are essentially loans made to entities (typically governments or corporations) that are paid back with interest.
  • Budget Revenue: The income generated by a government, primarily from taxes and other sources, used to fund public services and projects.
  • Common Framework: A scheme launched by the G20 to simplify and speed up the debt relief process for developing countries.
  • Debt Relief: The partial or total forgiveness of debt, or the slowing or stopping of debt growth, particularly for developing countries.
  • Debt Servicing: The payments a country makes on its debt, including both interest and principal repayments.
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product): The total value of goods and services produced within a country during a specific period.
  • G20: An international forum of 19 countries and the European Union, representing the world's largest economies.
  • Heavily Indebted Poor Country Initiative (HIPC): A program launched in the 1990s to reduce the debt of the world's poorest countries.
  • Vulture Funds: Investment funds that buy distressed debt cheaply and then seek to make a profit, often by suing the debtor for full repayment.

Linked Economics Themes

  • Debt and Development: How debt affects economic development in low-income countries.
  • International Financial Systems: The role and impact of international finance institutions and mechanisms like the G20’s common framework.
  • Public Finance: The management of a country’s revenues, expenditures, and debt load.
  • Economic Inequality: The disparity in wealth and income among different groups within and between countries.
  • Global Economic Policies: The influence of global policies on national economies, particularly in developing countries.

Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for over thirty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD conferences in the UK and overseas.

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