China: The End of Cheap Labour

China’s unit labour cost advantage in high-volume manufacturing is being eroded at a faster rate according to this feature piece from Time Magazine. “The average manufacturing wage in China is still only about $3.10 an hour, (compared with $22.30 in the U.S.), though in the eastern part of the country, it’s up to 50% more than that.” There are strong economic, social and political pressures for wages to rise and as they do this will have hugely significant demand and supply-side effects on their economy, for example accelerating the pressure for China to invest more in new technologies and product and process innovation to move higher up the value chain and become less dependent on supplying cheaper products to the rest of the world. My recent China Economics Revision Note focuses on some of these issues.