Caffeinated stimulus to demand

Coffee shops seem - by and large - to be surviving the recession and, in many cases thriving. The number of independent coffee stores has grown by more than 7% in the last year. Across the country hundreds of new stores have opened. This doesn’t make coffee an inferior good - whose demand rises as real income falls. Instead there are stronger forces at work, for example the rise of the nomadic entrepreneur who prefers to work away from expensive offices. Hugh Pym provides an overview of the strength of retail coffee demand in this piece from BBC news. London has the highest concentration of coffee stores in the UK followed by Edinburgh.

Not every brand is enjoying the same performance. Costa Coffe which has 974 stores in the UK has reported like-for-like sales growth yesterday of 2.5 per cent in the six months to the end of August. Caffè Nero, which has almost 400 UK outlets, is believed to be trading at a similar level to Costa, although Starbucks has like-for-like sales down by an estimated 4.5 per cent to 5 per cent in recent months. Brand fatigue in action.