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Australia's Green Hydrogen Dream: A Path to Global Comparative Advantage?

Geoff Riley

12th August 2024

Australia’s vast natural resources have long positioned it as a global mining giant, but could the nation’s future prosperity lie in something far less tangible? Green hydrogen—hailed as the fuel of the future—offers Australia a unique opportunity to lead the world in renewable energy. But is this potential economic advantage a reality, or just a bubble waiting to burst?

The Green Hydrogen Promise

Green hydrogen, produced using renewable energy to split water molecules into hydrogen and oxygen, presents a clean alternative to fossil fuels. Australia’s rich endowment of sun, wind, and land makes it an ideal candidate to produce green hydrogen at scale. However, there’s a catch: hydrogen production, particularly through electrolysis, is notoriously energy-intensive and costly.

Enter Hysata, an Australian green energy firm making waves by tackling one of the key inefficiencies in hydrogen production—bubbles. In conventional electrolysers, bubbles cling to electrodes, causing energy loss. Hysata’s innovative use of a sponge-like material to eliminate these bubbles could revolutionize hydrogen production by reducing energy consumption by 20%. This breakthrough promises to cut costs and enhance Australia’s competitive edge in the burgeoning green hydrogen market.

Comparative Advantage and Economic Growth

Australia’s history as an export-driven economy, with coal and iron ore fuelling the growth of nations like Japan and China, sets the stage for green hydrogen to become the next big export. If the country can leverage its renewable energy resources to produce green hydrogen efficiently, it could secure a new comparative advantage. This would not only boost exports but also position Australia as a leader in global de-carbonisation efforts.

However, skepticism abounds. Critics argue that the costs associated with producing, storing, and transporting hydrogen, particularly in the liquid form required for export, could outweigh the benefits. The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) points out that exporting hydrogen might not be financially viable due to the high energy requirements for liquefaction and the significant losses during transport.

Domestic Use vs. Export: The Economic Debate

Given these challenges, some experts advocate for prioritizing domestic use of hydrogen over exports. Using green hydrogen locally could help decarbonize Australia’s heavy industries, such as steelmaking, and provide a cleaner energy alternative to natural gas. This approach could create a robust domestic market for hydrogen, reducing the country’s reliance on fossil fuels and aligning with global climate goals.

The Australian government is backing hydrogen through various initiatives, including tax credits and state-level hydrogen jobs plans. But the race to make green hydrogen economically viable is fierce, with other countries like the U.S., Japan, and Germany also investing heavily in this sector. Whether Australia can stay ahead of the curve remains to be seen.

The Road Ahead: Economic Opportunities and Challenges

While the potential for green hydrogen is immense, the path forward is fraught with uncertainty. The hydrogen industry’s success hinges on reducing production costs, scaling up infrastructure, and securing consistent demand. Technological innovations, like those developed by Hysata, will be crucial in overcoming these barriers.

Moreover, the global hydrogen market is still in its infancy. According to the International Energy Agency, low-emission hydrogen sources accounted for less than 1% of global demand in 2022. Achieving widespread adoption will require significant government support, technological breakthroughs, and favourable market conditions. If Australia can successfully harness its renewable resources to produce and utilize green hydrogen, it could not only secure a new comparative advantage but also play a pivotal role in the global transition to a low-carbon economy.

Exam-Style Questions:

  1. Discuss the potential comparative advantage Australia could gain from green hydrogen production. How might this impact its economy in the next decade?
  2. Evaluate the economic challenges associated with exporting green hydrogen from Australia. What alternatives could be more viable?
  3. Explain the role of technological innovation in reducing the costs of green hydrogen production. How does this influence Australia’s competitive position?
  4. Critically assess the arguments for and against prioritizing domestic use of green hydrogen over its export. Which strategy would you recommend for Australia?

Glossary of Key Economic Terms:

  • Comparative Advantage: The ability of a country to produce a good or service at a lower relative opportunity cost than its trading partners.
  • Decarbonisation: The process of reducing carbon dioxide emissions through the use of low-carbon power sources and energy-efficient practices.
  • Electrolysis: A chemical process that uses electricity to split water into hydrogen and oxygen, crucial for producing green hydrogen.
  • Export-Driven Economy: An economy that relies heavily on exporting goods and services to generate growth and revenue.
  • Green Hydrogen: Hydrogen produced using renewable energy sources, with no associated carbon emissions.
  • Hydrogen Economy: An economic system that relies on hydrogen as a primary energy carrier for various applications, including transportation, industry, and power generation.
  • Natural Resources: Materials or substances such as minerals, forests, water, and fertile land that occur in nature and can be used for economic gain.
  • Renewable Energy: Energy from sources that are naturally replenishing, such as solar, wind, and hydroelectric power.
  • Skepticism: Doubt as to the truth of something, often requiring further evidence or rational justification.

Retrieval Questions:

  1. What is green hydrogen, and how is it produced?
  2. How does Hysata’s technology improve the efficiency of hydrogen production?
  3. What are the main types of hydrogen, and how do they differ?
  4. Why might exporting green hydrogen from Australia be financially challenging?
  5. What role does comparative advantage play in Australia’s green hydrogen potential?
  6. How could green hydrogen benefit Australia’s domestic heavy industries?
  7. What are some of the economic challenges associated with green hydrogen production?
  8. How is the Australian government supporting the hydrogen industry?

Key Points and Facts:

  • Green Hydrogen Efficiency: Hysata’s innovation reduces the energy required to produce hydrogen by 20%.
  • Comparative Advantage: Australia’s natural resources could position it as a leader in green hydrogen production.
  • Economic Viability: Exporting green hydrogen faces challenges due to high costs of production, storage, and transportation.
  • Domestic Use: There is significant potential for green hydrogen to decarbonize Australia’s heavy industries.
  • Global Competition: Countries like the U.S. and Germany are also investing heavily in hydrogen, intensifying the race for economic advantage.
  • Government Support: Australia’s federal and state governments are providing financial incentives to stimulate hydrogen production and use.

Geoff Riley

Geoff Riley FRSA has been teaching Economics for over thirty years. He has over twenty years experience as Head of Economics at leading schools. He writes extensively and is a contributor and presenter on CPD conferences in the UK and overseas.

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