Airline mergers and competition policy

Today we heard of another instance of consolidation in the European Union aviation industry. Lufthansa has agreed with Michael Bishop, founder of BMI to up their stake in the UK airline from 30 per cent to 80 per cent by buying out Sir Michael’s own equity stake in the business.

Having acquired Swiss Airlines a while back Lufthansa continues to build a broader base for its operations, and in buying BMI it gains a well established mainly short-haul operator which has a significant number of scarce and hugely valuable landing slots from Heathrow. Lufthansa will emerge as the second-biggest carrier behind British Airways at Heathrow. Virgin has 3 percent of slots at Heathrow, the main airport for London; bmi has 12 percent and British Airways more than 40 percent. These land slots represent an important barrier to entry for airlines wanting the green light to expand their operations at chosen airports.

Just as a few weeks back, when the government nudged Lloyds TSB into mating with embattled bank HBoS, at times of great economic and financial uncertainty, many mergers and takeovers are born of necessity rather than excessive optimism.

And this creates a possible headache for the Competition Policy authorities who must make a judgement about whether to allow the integration to proceed without intervention or insist that the newly enlarged business divests some of their operations to ensure that the markets remain competitive.

When the survival of a business is at stake and with it thousands of jobs, are the competition authorities more inclined to turn a blind eye? The answer is probably YES and there will be many more mergers in the airline industry before the current economic crisis is over.