Author: Jim Riley Last updated: Sunday 23 September, 2012
Introduction
Market research involves the collection of data to obtain
insight and knowledge into the needs and wants of customers and the
structure and dynamics of a market. In nearly all cases, it would be very
costly and time-consuming to collect data from the entire population of a market. Accordingly, in market research, extensive use is made of sampling from which, through careful design and analysis, Marketers can draw information
about the market.
Sample Design
Sample design covers the method of selection, the sample structure
and plans for analysing and interpreting the results. Sample designs can vary
from simple to complex and depend on the type of information required and
the way the sample is selected.
Sample design affects the size of the sample and the way in
which analysis is carried out. In simple terms the more precision the market
researcher requires, the more complex will be the design and the larger the
sample size.
The sample design may make use of the characteristics of the
overall market population, but it does not have to be proportionally representative.
It may be necessary to draw a larger sample than would be expected from some
parts of the population; for example, to select more from a minority grouping
to ensure that sufficient data is obtained for analysis on such groups.
Many sample designs are built around the concept of random
selection. This permits justifiable inference from the sample to the population,
at quantified levels of precision. Random selection also helps guard against
sample bias in a way that selecting by judgement or convenience cannot.
Defining the Population
The first step in good sample design is to ensure that the specification
of the target population is as clear and complete as possible to ensure that
all elements within the population are represented. The target population
is sampled using a sampling frame. Often the units in the population
can be identified by existing information; for example, pay-rolls, company
lists, government registers etc. A sampling frame could also be geographical;
for example postcodes have become a well-used means of selecting a sample.
Sample Size
For any sample design deciding upon the appropriate sample size
will depend on several key factors
(1) No estimate taken from a sample is expected to be exact: Any assumptions about the overall population based on the results of a
sample will have an attached margin of error.
(2) To lower the margin of error usually requires a larger
sample size. The amount of variability in the population (i.e. the range
of values or opinions) will also affect accuracy and therefore the size of
sample.
(3) The confidence level is the likelihood that the results
obtained from the sample lie within a required precision. The higher the
confidence level, that is the more certain you wish to be that the results
are not atypical. Statisticians often use a 95 per cent confidence level to provide strong conclusions.
(4) Population size does not normally affect sample size. In fact the larger the population size the lower the proportion of that population
that needs to be sampled to be representative. It is only when the proposed
sample size is more than 5 per cent of the population that the population
size becomes part of the formulae to calculate the sample size.
Types of Sampling
There are many different types of sampling technique. We have
summarised the most popular below:
Sampling Method
Definition
Uses
Limitations
Cluster Sampling)
Units in the population
can often be found in certain geographic groups or "clusters"
(e.g. primary school children in Derbyshire. A random sample of clusters
is taken, then all units within the cluster are examined
Quick & easy;
does not require complete population information; good for face-to-face
surveys
Expensive if the
clusters are large; greater risk of sampling error
Convenience
Sampling
Uses those who
are willing to volunteer
Readily available;
large amount of information can be gathered quickly
Cannot extrapolate
from sample to infer about the population; prone to volunteer bias
Judgement Sampling
A deliberate choice
of a sample - the opposite of random
Good for providing
illustrative examples or case studies
Very prone to bias;
samples often small; cannot extrapolate from sample
Quota Sampling
Aim is to obtain
a sample that is "representative" of the overall population;
the population is divided ("stratified") by the most important
variables (e.g. income,. age, location) and a required quota sample
is drawn from each stratum
Quick & easy
way of obtaining a sample
Not random, so
still some risk of bias; need to understand the population to be able
to identify the basis of stratification
Simply Random
Sampling
Ensures that every
member of the population has an equal chance of selection
Simply to design
and interpret; can calculate estimate of the population and the sampling
error
Need a complete
and accurate population listing; may not be practical if the sample
requires lots of small visits all over the country
Systematic Sampling
After randomly
selecting a starting point from the population, between 1 and "n",
every nth unit is selected, where n equals the population
size divided by the sample size
Easier to extract
the sample than via simple random; ensures sample is spread across the
population
Can be costly and
time-consuming if the sample is not conveniently located