There is some fantastic economics in here! I like the idea of ‘negative wealth’ and is useful to add to the multiplier and accelerator effects when explaining a downturn/recession.
Posted by on 03/06 at 04:28 PM
Signs of a negative “wealth effect” for the USA?
Thursday, March 06, 2008
Print
Email
RSS
Tweet This! Save this entry to my Favorites
One of the big recession risks facing the US economy is that a sharp decline in the net wealth of millions of US households will cut deep into consumer confidence and a willingness and ability to spend on big ticket items. The so called ”wealth effect” can be very powerful either when asset prices are surging ahead as they have for most of the last ten years. Or when the wealth effect goes into reverse and people find that the value of the property, shares and other financial assets are in freefall. The negative wealth effect was a noticeable feature of the last economic recession in the UK in the main due to the steep fall in nominal and real house prices.
Today the Federal Reserve Bank published their regular ‘flow of funds’ figures - and inside them was the news that US families are getting poorer for the first time in more than five years. Asset prices are falling and levels of debt are rising - the result a cut in household net worth and a rise in the stress barometer.
“US households are getting poorer for the first time in more than five years, according to figures from the Federal Reserve. Total household wealth has fallen by $533bn to $57,718bn, as falling prices of shares and other securities added to the damage from falling house prices.”
The estimated value of property dropped by over $22 billion in the final three months of 2007 and Reuters reports that “the percentage of equity that Americans have in their homes has sunk to the lowest level since 1945.”
It will take some time for the wealth effect to show through in consumer spending and savings behaviour. But the consumer sentiment figures are already heading sharply lower, and news that net wealth is slumping will do little to bolster confidence going forward.
ECONOMICS TEACHER RESOURCE NEWSLETTER
Join over 4,000 other Economics Teachers in the UK and around the world who receive the tutor2u Economics Resource Email newsletter. Get special offers, first news of latest resources, teaching ideas, conferences and workshops.
Recent Threads on the Economics Teacher Discussion Forums:
Posts in: General Economics Teaching
Need help. - Economic Growth
Economies of scale presentation A2
Economic development
International Competitiveness
Keynesian Aggregate Supply
Demand Supply (% VAT Imposed) How to...?
Policy conflict and the Euro
Registering for the tutor2u VLU
Video Case-study - lunchtime prices slashed
Long Exam Example to Use for Revision Please?
Comments
Hey guys i would really like to know more about your economy. Thing is I’m a first year economics student and I’m totally crazy about what I’m doing! I just want to add to my limited knowledge and be on my way to becoming one of the best economists my country has ever witnessed.
Posted by on 03/07 at 10:27 AM
Which economy? (!!) we are both UK economists writing mainly about the UK but also about other economics stories that take our interest!
Posted by on 03/07 at 01:08 PM
It is look more better if you give more examples and explanation of negative wealth effects.
Posted by Bhavani Krishnan on 03/15 at 10:46 PM
Most Popular Topic Tags on the Economics Blog
recession, demand, economics, unemployment, prices, price, inflation, investment, costs, trade, profit, employment, debt, supply, downturn, euro, gdp, confidence, competition, risk, china, capacity, exports, production, incentives, oil, expectations, manufacturing, sterling, housing, pay, food, profits, banks, tutor2u, globalisation, mortgage, property, revision, retailers, slowdown, borrowing, usa, innovation, emissions, dollar, deflation, airlines, supermarkets, entrepreneur, monopsony, efficiency, productivity, google, elasticity, moodle, wealth, aqa, keynes, protectionism, welfare, consumption, externalities, saving, opec, economist, inequality, strategy, depression, competitiveness, economic cycle, tim harford, stocks, depreciation, jobs, monopoly, infrastructure, carbon, credit crunch, poverty, cars, eu, bank of england, vle, environmental, carbon trading, spare capacity, budget deficit, environment, subsidy, market failure, wages, regulation, management, evaluation, output gap, losses, behavioural, steel, government failure, climate change, construction, macroeconomics, imports, oligopoly, japan, bbc, skills, cpi, commodities, farming, newsnight, paul mason, fiscal stimulus, intervention, multiplier effect, single market, currencies, population, stagflation, contestable, itunes, lse, agflation, minimum wage, interest rates, choices, aviation, amazon, quantitative easing, taxes, germany, uk economy, monetary policy, cartel, survey, nationalisation, india, brazil, rpi, pricing, opportunity cost, dan ariely, apple, pollution, oecd, rationality, keynes society, rsa, relative poverty, shipping, iphone, capital, merger, currency, imf, balance of payments, yuan, tragedy of the commons, price discrimination, current account, economies of scale, redundancies, london, facebook, savings, stakeholders, shareholder, behavioural economics, mpc, supply chain, liquidity, takeover, barriers to entry, reputation, income elasticity, poverty trap, microsoft, hamish mcrae, human capital, subsidies, discrimination, roger bootle, federal reserve, duopoly, robert peston, immigration, suppliers, us economy, quiz, gini coefficient, collapse, obama, pensions, coffee, development, national debt, consumer surplus, crowding out, etonomics, eurozone, crude oil, scarcity, labour market, ecb, petrol, taxation, brand, tesco, free, budget, paradox of thrift, smoking, transport, cost of living, labour mobility, liquidity trap, global, speculation, starbucks, recovery, allocative efficiency, iceland, behaviour, david smith, surplus, waste, shareholders, ireland, growth, information failure, happiness, open source, vat, creative destruction, cost benefit analysis, trade deficit, tariffs, northern rock, edinburgh, comparative advantage, ownership, scrappage, robert frank, ocr economics, aggregate demand, freight, diane coyle, royal economic society,All tags
